Prospective Study of Neuropeptide Y as an Adverse Cardiovascular Risk Factor in End-Stage Renal Disease
Carmine Zoccali*,
Francesca Mallamaci*,
Giovanni Tripepi*,
Francesco A. Benedetto,
Saverio Parlongo,*,
Sebastiano Cutrupi*,
Domenico Iellamo*,
Graziella Bonanno,
Francesco Rapisarda,
Pasquale Fatuzzo,
Giuseppe Seminara,
Alessandro Cataliotti and
Lorenzo Salvatore Malatino
*CNR-IBIM, Institute of Biomedicine, Epidemiology, and Pathophysiology of Renal Diseases and Hypertension, and Division of Nephrology, Division of Cardiology, Morelli Hospital, Reggio Calabria, and Clinica Medica "L. Condorelli," Dipartimento di Medicina Interna, University of Catania, Italy.
Correspondence to Dr. Carmine Zoccali, CNR-IBIM, Istituto di Biomedicina, Epidemiologia Clinica e Fisiopatologia, delle Malattie Renali e dellIpertensione Arteriosa, c/o Ospedali Riuniti, Via Vallone Petrara, 89124 Reggio Calabria, Italy. Phone: 0039-0965-397010; Fax: 0039-0965-397000;
ABSTRACT. Chronic renal insufficiency is a situation characterizedby high plasma concentration of neuropeptide Y (NPY). Becausethis neuropeptide interferes with cardiovascular (CV) function,it is possible that it is involved in the high CV-related morbidityand mortality of these patients. To test this hypothesis, afollow-up study was performed (average duration, 34 mo; range0.2 to 52.0 mo) in a cohort of 277 patients with end-stage renaldisease receiving chronic dialysis. Univariate analysis revealedthat plasma NPY was directly related to plasma norepinephrine(r = 0.37, P < 0.001) and epinephrine (r = 0.17, P = 0.005),exceeding the upper limit of the normal range in the majorityof patients with end-stage renal disease (170 of 277, 61%).One hundred thirteen patients had one or more fatal and nonfatalCV events; 112 patients died, 66 of them (59%) of CV causes.Plasma NPY failed to predict all-cause mortality but was anindependent predictor of adverse CV outcomes (hazard ratio [10pmol/L increase in plasma NPY], 1.32; 95% confidence interval,1.09 to 1.60; P = 0.004) in a Cox proportional-hazard modelthat included a series of traditional and nontraditional CVrisk factors. Plasma NPY maintained its predictive power forCV events in statistical model including plasma norepinephrine.Plasma NPY predicts incident CV complications in end-stage renaldisease. Controlled trials are needed to establish whether interferencewith the sympathetic system, NPY, or both may reduce the highCV morbidity and mortality of dialysis patients. E-mail: carmine.zoccali@tin.it
Neuropeptide Y (NPY) is a vasoactive neuropeptide widely distributedin the central and peripheral nervous system. The gut and associatedorgans are likely to be the source of most circulating NPY,and the release of this substance is stimulated after feedingin a way that does not correlate with norepinephrine (NE) (1).This neuropeptide is also coreleased with NE during sympatheticnerve stimulation, and it is extensively involved in cardiovascular(CV) regulation because it modulates heart rate, cardiac excitability,and ventricular function as well as coronary blood flow (2).NPY behaves as a stress hormone because its plasma concentrationis markedly increased in septic shock (3) and in myocardialinfarction (4), and because it predicts survival in patientsadmitted to coronary care units with or without myocardial infarction(5).
Chronic renal insufficiency is a situation characterized byhigh plasma concentration of NPY (613). Because CV riskin patients with chronic renal diseases is much increased (14),it is possible that this neuromediator is involved in the highCV morbidity and mortality of these patients. In keeping withthis hypothesis, we have found that NPY is strongly associatedto left ventricular concentric hypertrophy and systolic dysfunctionin these patients (15).
Given the physiologic role of NPY in CV control, a thoroughexamination of the relationship of this neuropeptide with plasmacatecholamines may provide valuable information on these importantfunctional correlates of NPY in uremic patients. Furthermore,we thought that for establishing the biological and clinicalrelevance of high circulating NPY in uremic patients, we mustassess whether this peptide is related to well defined outcomemeasures, such as incident CV events.
Study Protocol
The study protocol confirmed to the ethical guidelines of ourinstitutions, and informed consent was obtained from each participant.All studies were performed during a nondialysis day, between8 a.m. and 1 p.m.
Study Cohort
Two hundred seventy-seven patients (154 male and 123 femalepatients, 226 receiving hemodialysis and 51 receiving chronicambulatory peritoneal dialysis [CAPD]) who had been receivingregular dialysis treatment for at least 6 mo (average durationof regular dialysis treatment, 67 mo; range, 6 to 98 mo) withouthistory of congestive heart failure and without concomitantillnesses were eligible for the study. The main demographicand clinical characteristics of the patients included in thestudy are listed in Table 1. The prevalence of diabetes mellitusin this cohort was 16% (44 of 277 patients).
Table 1. Clinical and biochemical characteristics of patients divided on the basis of three tertiles of plasma NPYa
Hemodialysis patients were virtually anuric (24 h urine volume<200 ml/d) and were being treated three times a week withstandard bicarbonate dialysis (Na 138 mmol/L, HCO3 35 mmol/L,K 1.5 mmol/L, Ca 1.25 mmol/L, Mg 0.75 mmol/L) and celluloseor semisynthetic membranes (dialysis filters surface area, 1.1to 1.7 m2). The average urea Kt/V in these patients was 1.21± 0.27. Patients receiving CAPD were all on a four-exchange-a-dayschedule and used standard dialysis bags. The average weeklyKt/V in these patients was 1.67 ± 0.32. Thirty-four patientshad a history of myocardial infarction, and 79 had clinicaland electroencephalogram evidence of cardiac ischemia. Twenty-fivepatients had had a stroke, and 29 had experienced transientischemic attacks. One hundred thirteen patients were habitualsmokers (22 ± 17 cigarettes a day). One hundred forty-fourpatients received erythropoietin therapy. One hundred sixteenpatients were being treated with antihypertensive drugs (82receiving monotherapy with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors,AT-1 antagonists, calcium channel blockers, and - and -blockers,and 34 on double- or triple-drug therapy with various combinationsof these drugs).
Follow-up
After the initial assessment, patients were followed up foran average of 34 mo (range, 0.2 to 52.0 mo). During the follow-up,CV events (electrocardiogram-documented anginal episodes andmyocardial infarction, heart failure, electrocardiogram-documentedarrhythmia, transient ischemic attacks, stroke, and other thromboticevents) and death were accurately recorded. Each death was reviewedand assigned an underlying cause by a panel of five physicians.As a part of the review process, all available medical informationabout each death was collected. This information always includedstudy and hospitalization records. In instances where the patientdied when he or she was not hospitalized, family members wereinterviewed by telephone to better ascertain the circumstancessurrounding death.
Laboratory Measurements
Blood sampling was performed between 8.00 a.m. and 10.00 a.m.in steady-state conditions, during a nondialysis day for hemodialysispatients and at empty abdomen for CAPD patients. Samples forthe measurement of plasma NPY were taken after 20 to 30 minof quiet resting in semirecumbent position. Plasma NPY was measuredafter extraction by Sep-Pac C18 cartridges (Waters Associates,Milford, MA) by means of a commercially available RIA kit (PeninsulaLaboratories, Merseyside, England). The intra- and interassayvariations were 10% and 13%, respectively. The upper limit ofthe normal range of plasma NPY in a group of 53 healthy controlsubjects was 8 pmol/L (average: 2.5 ± 2.0 pmol/L). Theplasma concentrations of NE and epinephrine (E) were measuredby a RIA kit (Amicyl-test; Immunological Laboratories, Hamburg,Germany). Serum lipids, albumin, calcium, phosphate, and hemoglobinmeasurements were made by standard methods in the routine clinicallaboratory. C-reactive protein (CRP) and plasma homocysteinewere measured by previously described methods (16).
Statistical Analyses
Data are expressed as mean ± SD (normally distributeddata), geometric mean ± SD (nonnormally distributed data),or as percentage of frequency, and comparisons between groupswere made by one-way ANOVA or 2 test, as appropriate.
Probability of survival was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier survivalanalysis and by the multivariate Cox proportional-hazard model.For patients who experienced multiple events, survival analysiswas restricted to the first event. There was no missing valuefor plasma NPY. There were only 30 missing values (hemoglobin,cholesterol, albumin, calcium, phosphate, and CRP, five pereach variable). Missing values for these covariates were setto the mean value. To identify the independent prognostic powerof plasma NPY for all-cause mortality and fatal and nonfatalCV events, we started with saturated Cox proportional-hazardmodels and included all covariates that were associated (P <0.10) with plasma NPY (Table 1) as well as covariates that wererelated (P < 0.10) to all-cause death or CV outcomes at univariateanalysis. To obtain parsimonious models, variables in the finalmodels were selected by a stepwise approach. By means of thisstrategy, we constructed models of adequate statistical power(at least 19 events for each variable in the final model).
The assumption of linearity for the Cox proportional-hazardmodels was examined through visual inspection, and no violationof proportional hazard was found. Hazard ratios (HR) and their95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated by the estimatedregression coefficients and their standard errors in the Coxregression analysis. All calculations were made by a standardstatistical software package (SPSS for Windows, version 9.0.1).
Plasma NPY (average, 15.0 ± 9.7 pmol/L) exceeded theupper limit of the normal range (cutoff, 8 pmol/L) in the majorityof patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD; 170 of 277,61%). The clinical characteristics of patients grouped intothree tertiles according to plasma NPY are listed in Table 1.Patients in the third tertile of plasma NPY were younger, hadhigher heart rates, and were more often men or smokers whencompared with patients in the second and first NPY tertiles.Patients in the third NPY tertile showed also lower serum albuminand hemoglobin than those in the others two tertiles. Systolicand diastolic BP did not differ significantly among the threeNPY tertiles, but the prevalence of patients receiving antihypertensivetreatment was higher in patients in the third NPY tertile comparedwith those in the others two tertiles. Plasma urea was similarin three groups.
NPY, NE and E, and Plasma Urea
Plasma NPY was directly related to plasma NE (Figure 1). A similarbut weaker relationship was also found between plasma NPY andplasma E (r = 0.17, P = 0.005). NPY was largely unrelated toplasma urea (r = -0.06, P = 0.32).
Figure 1. Relationship between plasma norepinephrine (NE) and plasma neuropeptide Y (NPY). Because NE and NPY showed positively skewed distributions, these data were log transformed (log10). Data are Pearson product moment correlation coefficient and P value.
Survival Analysis
No patient was lost to follow-up. One hundred sixty-one fataland nonfatal CV events occurred in 113 patients; 112 patientsdied, 66 of them (59%) of CV causes (Table 2). Plasma NPY failedto predict survival either in the Kaplan-Meier analysis (log-ranktest, 1.75; P = 0.19) or in a multivariate Cox regression model(P = 0.29). Multivariate analysis found that age (P < 0.001),previous CV events (P = 0.001), male gender (P = 0.002), CRP(P = 0.003), diabetes (P = 0.01), and serum albumin (P = 0.02)were significantly associated with all-cause mortality.
Table 2. Cardiovascular events (fatal and nonfatal) and causes of death in the study cohort
In the Kaplan-Meyer analysis, the CV event-free survival wasprogressively and significantly lower from the first tertileof plasma NPY onward (log-rank test, 9.64; P = 0.002) (Figure 2).In a Cox regression model that tested all covariates associatedto incident CV events as well as factors associated to plasmaNPY (Table 1) by univariate analysis, plasma NPY was found tobe an independent predictor of CV events (HR [10 pmol/L increasein plasma NPY], 1.32; 95% CI, 1.09 to 1.60; P = 0.004) (Table 3,model 1). This relationship was unaffected by treatment modality(hemodialysis versus CAPD) (Table 3). Plasma NPY maintainedits predictive power for CV events (HR [10 pmol/L increase inplasma NPY], 1.25; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.54; P = 0.03) in a statisticalmodel including plasma NE (Table 3, model 2). In this model,plasma NE failed to predict CV outcomes (P = 0.11), and it becamea significant predictor of fatal and nonfatal CV events (HR[1 nmol/L increase in plasma NE], 1.07; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.13;P = 0.01) when plasma NPY was excluded from the model.
Figure 2. Kaplan-Meier cardiovascular event-free survival curves in patients divided into three tertiles of plasma neuropeptide Y (NPY). First tertile of plasma NPY, <7.41 pmol/L; second tertile, 7.41 to 18.26 pmol/L; third tertile, >18.26 pmol/L.
In a large cohort of patients with ESRD, NPY emerged as an independentpredictor of incident CV events. This relationship indicatesthat raised NPY in these patients is either a marker of riskor is directly involved in the high rate of CV complicationsin these patients. Several lines of evidence suggest that NPYparticipates in the physiologic response to various stressors,particularly if these are severe or prolonged (17). Increasedplasma NPY levels have been observed in situations characterizedby high sympathetic activity, such as physical exercise, heartfailure (18), and cardiac ischemia (19). In addition, NPY exertschronic effects because it stimulates vascular smooth muscleand myocardial cell proliferation (20) and may induce left ventricularhypertrophy in experimental models (21). Furthermore, this peptidemay enhance platelet aggregation, macrophage activation, andleukocyte adhesion (22).
NPY in ESRD
It is well demonstrated that nerves in the gut are an importantsource of NPY in humans (1). NPY has a biphasic disappearancefrom plasma, and the corresponding half-lives are 4 to 6 minand 20 to 40 min (23). The metabolism of NPY in patients withrenal failure has not been studied, but it seems likely thatenzyme (peptidase) activities (24) that degrade this neuromediatorare altered in renal failure (25). NPY was measured in severalstudies in patients with ESRD and found to be mildly (6,26)to markedly (12,13,27,28) elevated. The pathophysiological implicationsof increased NPY in these patients are unclear because NPY wasreported to be related to arterial pressure (26,29) and to fluidoverload (26) in some studies, whereas no such relationshipswere observed in the other studies (6,12,13,27,28). Furthermore,no consistent evidence has emerged that this peptide participatesin CV regulation during dialysis treatment (27,30). Overall,these studies dealt with a fairly small number of patients (8to 25 patients), which precluded our studying the relationshipbetween this substance and clinically important outcome measures.In this study, we found that NPY was unrelated to arterial pressure,but patients with high NPY (third tertile) had faster heartrates and were more likely to be receiving antihypertensivetreatment. The possibility that NPY may be involved in CV complicationsis suggested by our recent observation that high NPY is stronglyassociated to left ventricular concentric hypertrophy in patientswith ESRD (15).
NPY, Survival, and Incident CV Events
Approximately 39% of patients in our study had had one or moreCV events during a 3-yr follow-up, and the mean death rate was12% a year, which is analogous to that typically observed inEuropean dialysis registries (31). Such a high CV morbidityand mortality in part depends on the fact that traditional (i.e.,Framingham) risk factors are highly prevalent in the dialysispopulation. Interestingly, in this study, NPY was independentlyrelated to survival and CV outcomes independently of traditionalrisk factors (32) as well as of emerging risk factors, suchas CRP (33,34) and homocysteine (16,35), and risk factors peculiarto ESRD, such as anemia (36) and hyperphosphatemia (37).
Sympathetic overactivity is an established trigger of CV structuralalterations such as left ventricular hypertrophy and arterialremodeling (38), and we have recently reported that high NEin patients with ESRD is associated to left ventricular concentrichypertrophy (39) and that it predicts shorter survival and adverseCV outcomes (40). Because NPY is coreleased with NE, the linkbetween this peptide and survival and incident CV events maywell represent an epiphenomenon of sympathetic overactivity.In this study, NPY predicted incident CV events independentlyof plasma NE (Table 3, model 2). It is therefore possible thatthis neuropeptide is, at least in part, an event trigger independentof NE. NPY is present in sympathetic innervation of all partsof the conduction system of the heart but also in nerve fibersin the heart that do not represent sympathetic fibers (41).Mechanistic and intervention studies are required to answerthis important question.
Plasma NPY predicts CV complications in ESRD. This phenomenonlikely depends on the fact that this neuropeptide reflects sympatheticactivity, but the notion that high NPY per se might be an eventtrigger cannot be excluded. Controlled trials with antiadrenergicdrugs and with NPY antagonists (42) are needed to establishwhether interference with the sympathetic system, with NPY,or both may reduce the high CV morbidity and mortality of dialysispatients. In this regard, it is of interest that high flux dialysisreduces plasma concentration of NPY (43).
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Received for publication April 7, 2003.
Accepted for publication July 15, 2003.
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