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*Division of Pediatric Nephrology and
Section of Biostatistics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota; and
Section of Pediatric Nephrology, Childrens Mercy Hospital, Kansas City, Missouri.
Correspondence to Dr. Bruce Z. Morgenstern, Division of Pediatric Nephrology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905. Phone: 507-266-1046; Fax: 507-266-7891; E-mail: bmorgenstern{at}mayo.edu
| Abstract |
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When compared with the previous Mellits and Cheek formulas, the new formula fits better for infants (comparison of prediction errors, P < 0.0004). These newer formulas do not perform significantly better for the older two groups. Actual TBW measurement in children on PD must still be determined to verify the use of these formulas and to accurately assess dialysis delivery and adequacy.
| Introduction |
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The need to accurately estimate TBW in patients on dialysis has taken on great significance during the past few years (7,8). An estimate of TBW is critical for the calculation of Kt/V urea, a measure of delivered dialysis dose that has become the accepted standard. The V component of this term represents the volume of distribution of urea, widely accepted to equal TBW. For patients on hemodialysis (HD), the V component is calculated as a part of the modeling program used to generate the term Kt/V. In contrast, for patients on PD, it is necessary to estimate V. Among children who require dialysis, many of whom receive PD, an accurate estimate of V is, in turn, clearly desirable. The National Kidney Foundation has established a series of quality of care guidelines through the Dialysis Outcomes Quality Initiative (K/DOQI). The K/DOQI guidelines for peritoneal dialysis adequacy recommend that V (TBW) in children should be estimated using the anthropometric formulas of Mellits and Cheek, because most clinicians do not have access to heavy water or BIA and because these formulas were felt to be more accurate than the simple estimates of TBW that are based on percentages of body weight (2).
Mellits and Cheek reviewed the literature through 1968 and collected all the reports delineating individual measures of TBW for healthy infants and children (9). In all cases, the TBW assessments were conducted with deuterium oxide (D2O), and all of the data had to include the subjects height and weight. They then graphically evaluated the distribution of the TBW measures and developed equations that estimated the actual TBW.
In light of additional data points available in the literature and newer computer-fitting algorithms, we undertook a formal reassessment of the literature. We used the original data points and more recent reports to determine the accuracy of the Mellits and Cheek formulas as well as the accuracy of the simple estimates of TBW (0.6 to 0.7 x body weight in kg [1]).
| Materials and Methods |
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21 yr of age). The articles were retrieved and added to the database if they met the following criteria:
The references of all the articles were manually reviewed to attempt to identify additional data sets. Several recent articles used H2O (18) in an effort to validate other TBW methods on healthy children (1012), but efforts to obtain the individual data points from the authors were unsuccessful.
Statistical Analyses
Total body water was modeled as a linear function of age, gender, height, and weight. Parameter estimates were obtained by using the method of least squares. After reviewing initial data displays, it was evident that TBW, age, height, and weight would best be analyzed on the natural logarithmic scale (ln[ ]) to provide a more linear association and a more symmetric distribution of the residuals conforming to the normality assumptions needed for the percentile estimates. Previous TBW data suggest that the relationship of TBW to body size changes in early infancy and at the time of puberty (1). Accordingly, the total cohort was separated into subgroups that were 0 to 3 mo, 3 mo to 13 yr, and >13 yr of age. The estimation of the regression model was done separately for these subgroups.
The initial step in the modeling process was to fit all of the clinical variables. Backward elimination was than performed to obtain a more parsimonious model. The removal of variables was set at a significance level of 0.05. After reviewing the reduced model, further simplifications were investigated. The percentile distribution of TBW was than estimated from the final regression model (13,14). To compare our models with those previously published, we first calculated the mean squared prediction error (i.e., prediction error = (Actual TBW - Predicted TBW) [2]) for each of the proposed models on the subset of the data that was common to both our study and that of Mellits and Cheek (n = 236). The mean squared prediction error was than compared using the likelihood ratio statistic overall and within age subgroups. Similar comparisons were used to compare the proposed models with the simple estimates of TBW (0.7 x Body Weight in infants <1 yr of age; 0.6 x Body Weight for older children) but using all the data available for the proposed model. See the appendix for further details on the statistical model.
| Results |
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TBW = 0.887 x (Wt)0.83
Figure 1 depicts the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles for TBW using the complete form of the modeled equation (see appendix for the full equation and the derivation of the version used here).
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TBW = 0.0846 x 0.95if female x (Ht x Wt)0.65
For males, the factor 0.95 would, of course, be omitted. Figure 2 depicts the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles for TBW using the complete form of the modeled equation.
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TBW = 0.0758 x 0.84if female x (Ht x Wt)0.69
The intercept for this older group is slightly different, the correction factor for TBW in females is slightly lower, but the power of the Ht x Wt parameter is remarkably consistent with the younger group. Figure 3 depicts the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles for TBW using the complete form of the modeled equation.
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| Discussion |
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TBW estimates have also become a necessary component of the management of children on dialysis (2). The K/DOQI projects have established clear guidelines, based largely on expert opinion, for minimally adequate dialysis delivery to children. These guidelines were based on small case reports in children and extrapolation from adult studies. To calculate a Kt/V in children on PD, TBW must be estimated for use as the V component. The K/DOQI PD adequacy guidelines, lacking other options, recommended the equations of Mellits and Cheek to estimate TBW in children.
The present study developed a series of formulas using modern computer curve-fitting analyses. There are essentially three curves, with a correction for gender in the curves that were generated for the two older groups of children, presumably pre and postpubertal. The need for a gender correction in the older group has been well documented (1), but a correction for gender in the children from 3 mo to 13 yr has not been shown previously. The curves generated for the infants did a better job of predicting TBW than the Mellits and Cheek formulas. That this subset did not need a gender correction may be due to the fact that 45% of the data points in this subgroup did not have a report of gender in the original article, or there may be no physiologic reason at this point in development for the TBW compartment to differ by gender. The model for this age is of particular importance, because the children in this age range who require dialysis are virtually all on a form of PD.
The Mellits and Cheek formulas are in fact four equations that, like those derived in this report, reflect the affect of gender on TBW. They also reflect the curvilinear distribution of TBW against height. Two lines were drawn to approximate the data, with breakpoints where the linear slope of the TBW in its relation to height changed (i.e., where the two lines intersected). A multivariate analysis using both height and weight was performed after the breakpoints had been established (9). Unfortunately, this breakpoint differs for boys and girls, and the slopes also differ, leading to the following equations:
Boys, ht < 132.7 = -1.927 + (0.465 x wt) + (0.045 x ht)
Boys, ht > 132.7 = -21.993 + (0.406 x wt) + (0.209 x ht)
Girls, ht < 110.8 = 0.076 + (0.507 x wt) + (0.013 x ht)
>Girls, ht > 110.8 = -10.313 + (0.252 x wt) + (0.154 x ht)
The equations derived in this report are also reflective of the curvilinear relation between height, weight, and TBW, and they also account for gender but are able to do so in essentially three equations (the correction for gender being built in) that are distinguished only by the age of the child. As noted, the model for the infants is a better predictor of measured TBW. The other two equations perform no better than those of Mellits and Cheek, but they are easily solved with modern calculators and may be simpler to use.
It is clear from the analysis that the common estimate of TBW as 60% of body weight is probably inaccurate when applied to individual children. However, with either the formulas reported here or the Mellits and Cheek formulas, the ability to factor in adiposity and its effect on TBW is also lacking. Nevertheless, the formulas presented here are significantly better at predicting TBW than 0.6 x body weight.
Importantly, these new equations demonstrate the strong correlation of TBW with the anthropometric parameter (Ht x Wt). The recent update of the K/DOQI dialysis adequacy guidelines reviews the various formulas for estimating body surface area (BSA) (24). All the equations cited contain some variation on a (Ht x Wt) parameter. Often the individual measure is raised to a separate power. A common equation for the estimation of BSA is ([Ht x Wt]/3600)0.5. Clearly, the use of the (Ht x Wt) parameter will allow for mathematical relationships between TBW and surface area to be explored. This will likely have an effect on dialysis therapies, and it may affect pharmacologic studies in children as well.
Retrospective data collections and reanalyses such as this report have certain intrinsic weaknesses, the most critical being the patient groups/demographics. For example gender information is unavailable in 45% of the infants, and there are far fewer infants >4 kg than there are infants <4 kg. It is also possible that laboratory analyses of the samples from the newer patient sets are more precise than those from patients studied 50 yr ago, even when the same methods were used. The science associated with the measurement of TBW has also matured, and some of the earlier articles did not, for example, report adjustments for blood water. Nevertheless, it is not likely that any of these issues would lead to clinically significant changes in the proposed models.
Finally, it should be noted that the measurements of TBW analyzed by Mellits and Cheek, as well as those added for this report, were all performed on healthy infants and children. Whether or not the resulting models are directly applicable to children on dialysis whose renal failure may have resulted in significant alterations in TBW is unknown. This issue was recognized by the DOQI workgroups (2), and it is an issue that requires further study if PD adequacy (on the basis of correlation between dialysis dose and patient outcome) in children is to be defined.
Appendix
Percentile Estimation
From standard linear regression theory, if the normality (gaussian) assumption is valid, then the p-th percentile estimate of TBW as a function of patient characteristics is given by:
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with back transformation to the original scale given by
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Here, lnTBWR is the predicted natural logarithm of TBW, given the clinical variables in the regression model; zp is the p-th percentile of the standard normal distribution; and
R is the square root of the residual error variance from the fitted regression model.
Common zp values that may be used depending on the required percentile to be estimated are: for the 2.5th percentile (and the 95th percentile), -1.96 (+1.96); for the 5th (95th) percentile, -1.645 (+1.645); for the 10th (90th) percentile, -1.282 (+1.282); and for the 25th (75th) percentile -0.674 (+0.674). The zp value for the 50th percentile is zero.
| References |
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This article has been cited by other articles:
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B. Z. Morgenstern, E. Wuhl, K. S. Nair, B. A. Warady, and F. Schaefer Anthropometric Prediction of Total Body Water in Children Who Are on Pediatric Peritoneal Dialysis J. Am. Soc. Nephrol., January 1, 2006; 17(1): 285 - 293. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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J C K Wells, M S Fewtrell, P S W Davies, J E Williams, W A Coward, and T J Cole Prediction of total body water in infants and children Arch. Dis. Child., September 1, 2005; 90(9): 965 - 971. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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